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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+6.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+3.86vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+6.92vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+4.81vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+6.60vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+0.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-2.29vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.51+1.62vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-4.90vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+1.02vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-5.31vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-1.72vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-6.31vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-5.57vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.92Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.28Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.62Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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6.1Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.69Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.28Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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8.91George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 19.6% |
| Emily Allen | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 26.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 16.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.