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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+5.06vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+5.05vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+0.13vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+4.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.43+4.19vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79+1.73vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.07vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81-0.18vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.23vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.08-3.15vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.21-1.29vs Predicted
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13Boston University-1.11+1.23vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-5.05vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-7.30vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-4.07vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.05George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.13Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.73Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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8.82Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.85Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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10.71Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.23Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island1.080.1%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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16.79Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 26.7% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 0.3% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 14.3% | 49.4% | 8.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 0.8% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 6.8% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.