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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+2.05vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.08+5.66vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+3.20vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+3.15vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+3.55vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.08+0.71vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.760.00vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.21+0.68vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.78vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.99-4.03vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.81-4.24vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-3.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.12vs Predicted
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16Washington College-3.47+0.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.11-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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7.66Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.15George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.55Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.32Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island1.080.1%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.68Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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8.76Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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16.74Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
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14.34Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 29.8% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Brook Wood | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 1.5% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 5.9% | 90.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 50.7% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.