← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University0.99+6.57vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.22+4.88vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.63+0.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.43+5.74vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.08+2.29vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.95vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.50-1.10vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.79+0.28vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.14+1.90vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University-0.03+1.19vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.25vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University0.81-3.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.76-4.38vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.52-7.98vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.42vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-1.11-1.81vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-3.47-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.57Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
-
6.88George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
3.02Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
-
9.74University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.29Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
-
7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
-
5.9Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
8.28Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
-
10.9University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.19Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
8.35Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
-
6.02Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
11.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
14.19Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
16.77Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 27.1% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Connell | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 0.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 1.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 45.0% | 7.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 5.9% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.