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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+8.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+5.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+7.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+3.50vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+1.67vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+2.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.15vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.46+5.83vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.00-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.80-0.68vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-5.20vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.32+2.03vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-3.73vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.39-7.21vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.20-7.27vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.50-9.47vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.62-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.67Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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14.83University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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10.32University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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15.03Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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10.27Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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14.24Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 30.5% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Duncan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 34.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.