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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+4.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+3.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+8.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63-0.89vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+2.58vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.08+1.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81+1.41vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79+0.29vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22-1.91vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43-1.16vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.22vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-4.31vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-3.16vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-0.98vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-0.03-4.71vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.11Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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7.6Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.29Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.09George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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14.02Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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11.29Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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16.77Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 1.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 28.1% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Brook Wood | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 0.3% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 45.1% | 7.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 0.4% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 5.9% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.