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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+5.49vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+6.20vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+4.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+2.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+0.60vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.08+1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+1.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.43+0.70vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.50vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-5.21vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.81-3.88vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.21-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-3.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.47vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.11-1.83vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.2Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.5Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.34Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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5.79Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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10.48Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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14.17Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.77Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 0.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 14.1% | 47.2% | 7.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.