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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+6.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+3.57vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+4.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+7.58vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.43+4.33vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+0.87vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28-0.53vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-2.43vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99-1.29vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.50vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79-2.59vs Predicted
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12Boston University-1.11+2.06vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-4.52vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-5.43vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.21-4.70vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.14-5.32vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.17Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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6.87George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.57Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.71Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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8.41Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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14.06Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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10.3Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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16.77Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 12.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 46.9% | 7.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 0.5% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 6.9% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.