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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.14+8.65vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+3.03vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.08+3.42vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.57+3.38vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-0.08vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81+0.22vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.03+2.45vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43-1.20vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-4.23vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-5.07vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.25vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-1.00vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.99-8.21vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.42Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.84Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.22Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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11.45Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.34Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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14.0Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.79Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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16.78Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 30.5% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 0.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Lina Carper | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 44.9% | 7.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 5.7% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.