← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+1.93vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.50+3.86vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University0.99+4.74vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.14+6.74vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.79+3.30vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.22+1.11vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.85vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University0.81+0.16vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.52-2.90vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University1.08-2.66vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.07vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University-0.03-0.78vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin0.43-3.14vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.25vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.57-5.77vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-1.11-1.87vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-3.47-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
-
5.86Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
7.74Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
-
10.74University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.3Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.11George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
-
8.16Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
-
6.1Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.34Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
-
7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
-
11.22Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
9.86University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
9.23University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
14.13Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
16.77Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 32.0% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 43.5% | 7.2% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.