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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+5.69vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+6.31vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+6.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+2.00vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.65vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.14+4.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+4.65vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-4.91vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99-1.11vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81-1.73vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.05vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.08-4.54vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-3.65vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-7.99vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-0.03-3.79vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.11-1.83vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.31Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.09Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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7.89Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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7.46Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.21Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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14.17Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.76Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 1.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 31.2% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 1.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 45.5% | 7.5% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.