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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+6.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+4.40vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+5.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+1.80vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.08+2.11vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.50-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.43+1.44vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.18vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14-0.25vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.99-4.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.27vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-7.17vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-0.95vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.21-5.51vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.4Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.3Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.8Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.11Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.83George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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14.05Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.49Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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16.76Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 0.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 2.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 47.3% | 6.8% |
| Niah Ford | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 0.2% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.