← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.52+4.61vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.28+4.43vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.66vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.14+6.66vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University0.99+2.39vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.50-0.11vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.43+2.64vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.08-0.92vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University0.81-0.58vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.81vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.22-4.12vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.76-3.62vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-5.23vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.28vs Predicted
-
15Florida State University0.21-4.64vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-1.11-1.86vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-3.47-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
6.43Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
-
7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
-
10.66University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
7.39Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.89Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.08Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.42Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.19Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.88George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
8.38University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
-
7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
-
11.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
10.36Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
-
14.14Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
16.77Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 0.7% |
| Niah Ford | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 45.3% | 7.6% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 6.4% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.