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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.08+6.23vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+7.60vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+4.74vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+2.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-1.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+0.14vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.03+4.28vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-0.26vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.96vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50-4.00vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76-2.26vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.81-3.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.25vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-4.29vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.11-1.78vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.74Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.99George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.06Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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6.14Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.28Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.63Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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14.22Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.77Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agija Elerte | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 29.2% | 23.2% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 0.6% |
| Lina Carper | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 47.9% | 6.9% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 89.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.