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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+8.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+7.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+5.89vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.70+7.61vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19+0.71vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76+5.56vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.89-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+2.55vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44+3.88vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.34-0.61vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.90+0.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.49-3.17vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.78-5.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.62-2.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-4.83vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.52-7.59vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-9.72vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida4.17-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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11.61Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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12.88Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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11.12Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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8.83Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Robert Vann | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| David Thompson | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Peter Miller | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.1% |
| William Haeger | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.