← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+1.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.14+8.66vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.50+3.04vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.85vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.76+3.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.43+3.96vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University0.99+0.79vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-0.28vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.22-1.89vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.52-4.11vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.08-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.79-3.53vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University-0.03-1.59vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University0.81-5.48vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.35vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-1.11-1.80vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-3.47-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
-
10.66University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
6.04Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
-
8.45University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.79Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
-
7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
-
7.11George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
5.89Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.58Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.47Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
11.41Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.52Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
11.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
14.2Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
16.76Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 31.4% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 0.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.0% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 1.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 1.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 14.5% | 46.7% | 7.2% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 6.0% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.