Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Strobridge 19.8% 17.9% 16.0% 11.9% 8.6% 9.2% 5.2% 4.1% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ted Lutton 15.1% 13.6% 13.1% 10.8% 11.0% 10.5% 7.7% 7.3% 5.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Fritz Baldauf 13.1% 14.3% 11.0% 12.0% 11.5% 8.5% 7.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Nat Edmonds 3.6% 4.5% 6.7% 6.4% 6.3% 5.8% 9.4% 7.5% 9.4% 10.9% 10.1% 9.1% 6.9% 3.4%
Walter Chiles 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.5% 8.1% 7.6% 6.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
Keller Morrison 9.0% 9.2% 10.8% 10.0% 9.9% 9.5% 9.8% 8.8% 7.2% 6.4% 5.1% 2.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Nolan Cooper 10.6% 12.3% 9.3% 12.0% 10.0% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 5.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Kai Latham 2.3% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 3.7% 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 6.6% 7.8% 8.2% 12.5% 15.8% 23.5%
cole capizzo 2.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 3.1% 7.2% 9.5% 10.6% 14.4% 15.4% 20.6%
Ryan Begin 4.7% 5.7% 5.4% 6.8% 7.2% 8.3% 8.2% 10.3% 10.0% 9.6% 8.8% 9.1% 3.4% 2.5%
Tyler Meadows 3.9% 3.0% 5.0% 5.2% 5.9% 7.6% 6.4% 8.7% 9.4% 9.6% 11.2% 9.2% 8.6% 6.3%
Sean Morrison 4.0% 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 5.6% 7.7% 8.7% 8.9% 9.5% 10.6% 10.1% 7.8% 8.5% 5.2%
Brett Tardie 2.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 4.0% 3.9% 6.2% 7.0% 10.4% 11.8% 17.7% 24.6%
Cecilia Muller 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 4.8% 4.4% 5.9% 7.3% 5.9% 6.9% 10.2% 14.1% 18.0% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.