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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.89vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+4.18vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+3.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+5.38vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.96-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+3.22vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-2.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.64-3.20vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.20-1.52vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.23-2.50vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.77-1.99vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-0.09-5.04vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.06-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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6.18Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.78Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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4.99Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.01McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.96Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.69Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 20.2% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Begin | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| cole capizzo | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 21.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 12.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kai Latham | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 20.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Tyler Meadows | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 16.5% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 20.2% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.