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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.92vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+2.66vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.20+5.30vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.96+0.92vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.23+3.51vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+4.47vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08-0.55vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.77+1.04vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.09-1.90vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.06-0.22vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.49vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.64-7.31vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.43-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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4.66Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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8.3Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.92Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.4Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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10.04McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.1Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.78Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.69Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.26Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 18.9% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Meadows | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| cole capizzo | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 20.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Cecilia Muller | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 13.2% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 24.9% |
| Kai Latham | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 22.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.