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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+3.80vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.20+6.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33+0.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+1.81vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.23+3.52vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.96-1.02vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-1.63vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.43-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.08-1.46vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+0.48vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.09-2.93vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.77-1.99vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.06-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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8.06Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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5.81Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.98Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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5.37Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.4Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.07Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.01McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.71Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 19.9% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Meadows | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Begin | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| cole capizzo | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 21.4% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 17.9% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 24.4% |
| Kai Latham | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.