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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.91vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+4.15vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.20+5.31vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69+1.62vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+5.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64-0.14vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.97-2.41vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.96-3.08vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.23-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08-2.39vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.09-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.46vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.06-2.30vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.77-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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6.15Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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8.31Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.86Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.59Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.92Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.05Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.7Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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9.86McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 20.7% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| cole capizzo | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Meadows | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Begin | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Kai Latham | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 22.4% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 25.7% |
| Cecilia Muller | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.