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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University-0.20+7.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+1.90vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43+3.48vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-1.26+7.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+5.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64-0.10vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.97-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08-0.33vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69-3.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.96-4.97vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.10vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-0.09-3.52vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.77-2.47vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.06-2.87vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.23-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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6.48Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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11.7Wesleyan University-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.9Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.85Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.64Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.03Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.48Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.53McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.13Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Morrison | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Adam Strobridge | 20.9% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Rory McClenahan | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 26.6% |
| cole capizzo | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.5% |
| Nat Edmonds | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.6% |
| Tyler Meadows | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.