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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.78+3.30vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+1.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.64+0.68vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.26+2.21vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.32+1.36vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86+1.56vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.82+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.55-1.09vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.57-1.94vs Predicted
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11McGill University-1.50-0.39vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-3.58vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.61-2.26vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.57Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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3.28Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island0.640.1%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.36Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.56Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.64Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.06Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.61McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.74Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 13.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 20.5% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 24.4% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Masiello | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Alex Anderson | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| Murphy Olson | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 20.6% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.