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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.78+3.29vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.32+5.05vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.09+0.57vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.86+4.85vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.26+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.64-1.27vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.57+0.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.23-4.66vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.55-1.02vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.82-1.19vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-2.47vs Predicted
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12McGill University-1.50-1.43vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.61-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.05Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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3.57Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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8.85Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.19Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Rhode Island0.640.1%1st Place
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7.7Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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3.34Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.81Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.57McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.71Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 13.9% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 21.2% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Masiello | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| William Hurd | 24.6% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Murphy Olson | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 18.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.