Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Taboada 19.6% 20.1% 14.9% 13.5% 11.0% 8.4% 4.9% 3.8% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Hurd 23.6% 19.5% 16.6% 15.0% 9.6% 6.1% 5.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Case 13.4% 15.7% 15.2% 12.0% 12.5% 10.5% 8.1% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Petrush 2.6% 3.8% 5.6% 5.7% 6.6% 7.1% 10.1% 11.2% 9.9% 11.6% 9.3% 8.8% 5.0% 2.7%
Penelope Weekes 4.4% 4.6% 6.4% 7.8% 9.0% 10.4% 9.9% 9.6% 10.4% 8.9% 8.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.1%
Murphy Olson 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 5.2% 7.7% 8.4% 9.5% 10.7% 9.3% 11.1% 10.5% 8.3% 4.9%
Wilfred Hynes 3.6% 2.7% 2.9% 6.4% 6.0% 7.3% 6.9% 9.3% 9.7% 10.7% 11.3% 9.6% 9.3% 4.3%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.8% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 5.8% 5.2% 8.1% 8.9% 8.4% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 9.0% 5.2%
Timothy Cronin 4.2% 3.7% 3.7% 5.1% 7.3% 7.4% 9.5% 10.5% 11.7% 10.1% 11.6% 7.6% 4.3% 3.3%
Alex Anderson 1.7% 0.8% 2.5% 1.6% 2.5% 3.7% 3.2% 6.3% 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 13.3% 19.0% 19.5%
Amanda Yolles 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% 7.9% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 9.6% 11.0% 9.2% 8.4% 5.8% 4.7% 1.2%
Cameron Silvers 14.5% 14.1% 16.3% 13.1% 10.7% 10.7% 8.5% 6.1% 2.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Adrian Whitney 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 2.7% 4.2% 3.9% 4.3% 6.4% 7.9% 10.1% 15.5% 18.2% 20.3%
Iain Gillespie 0.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.9% 5.2% 7.1% 6.7% 11.0% 18.4% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.