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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.62+11.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+5.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+7.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.00vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-0.34vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+1.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+2.10vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.90+1.97vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.34-0.58vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.17-1.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.34-4.03vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.78-7.00vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.76-3.52vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.99-5.29vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.70-5.08vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.44-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.28University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.0Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.07Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.43Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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10.97Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.22University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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12.65Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Carmody | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 17.7% |
| Tyler Sinks | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| William Haeger | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Robert Vann | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
| Peter Miller | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.