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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+2.64vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.23+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.55+4.92vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.78+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.81-0.65vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26+1.20vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86+1.56vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.82+0.66vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.50+1.63vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.32-2.64vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-2.45vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.57-3.98vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.61-2.22vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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3.29Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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7.92University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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4.39Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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7.2Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.56Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.66Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.63McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.36Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.02Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.78Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 20.0% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 24.6% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Charles Case | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Alex Anderson | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 18.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.