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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.81+3.29vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+1.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02+7.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+3.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.78-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.55+0.68vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.26-0.91vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.57-0.95vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.32-2.61vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.82-2.15vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.86-3.15vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.50-2.54vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.61-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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3.59Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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3.32Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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11.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.41Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.09Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.05Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.39Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.85Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.85Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.46McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.75Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Silvers | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 19.0% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 23.1% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 40.0% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Charles Case | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Alex Anderson | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.