← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island0.81+3.25vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+6.56vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.23+0.35vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University-0.86+5.06vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.78-0.50vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.26+1.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02+5.09vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University-0.82+0.98vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont-0.55-0.91vs Predicted
-
10McGill University-1.50+0.93vs Predicted
-
11Bates College-0.32-3.49vs Predicted
-
12Amherst College-1.61-0.56vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University-1.91-0.90vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University-0.57-5.82vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.09-11.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25University of Rhode Island0.810.2%1st Place
-
8.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
-
3.35Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
-
9.06Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
4.5Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
-
7.25Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
-
12.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
-
8.98Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
8.09University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
-
10.93McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.51Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
-
11.44Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
-
12.1Wesleyan University-1.910.0%1st Place
-
8.18Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
3.72Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Silvers | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Murphy Olson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| William Hurd | 22.5% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Charles Case | 13.5% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Iain Gillespie | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 28.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Petrush | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Alex Anderson | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 16.2% |
| Katie Estep | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 28.3% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 20.1% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.