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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.58+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.45-0.06vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.21-0.32vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-3.32-0.47vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.31-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Miami University-0.580.4%1st Place
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1.94University of Notre Dame-0.450.4%1st Place
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2.68Miami University-1.210.2%1st Place
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4.53Ohio University-3.320.0%1st Place
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3.74Ohio State University-2.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Barillari | 35.7% | 31.5% | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Gallagher | 39.5% | 33.0% | 21.4% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Jenna Drobny | 17.9% | 22.9% | 36.7% | 18.1% | 4.4% |
| Kieran Boetger | 1.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 19.3% | 69.9% |
| Sofia Ely | 5.3% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 45.4% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.