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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+7.62vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+5.04vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+5.70vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.70+6.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.49+2.48vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.99+3.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida4.17+0.82vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-1.04vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University5.19-5.17vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.90-0.67vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.34-4.03vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-4.08vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.78-7.81vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.76-4.36vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.44-4.07vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.62-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.7Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.64Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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8.48Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.82University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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11.33Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.64Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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12.93Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Robert Vann | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Marks | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| David Thompson | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| William Haeger | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% |
| Peter Miller | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 21.3% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.