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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.21+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago1.01+0.06vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.30-0.27vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.07+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.51-1.22vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.00-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Marquette University0.2119.7%1st Place
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2.06University of Chicago1.0141.0%1st Place
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2.73Purdue University0.3022.7%1st Place
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4.39Purdue University-1.075.5%1st Place
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3.78University of Notre Dame-0.518.8%1st Place
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5.2Marquette University-2.002.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 19.7% | 24.6% | 23.8% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Max Zhalilo | 41.0% | 28.6% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| William Bernhardt | 22.7% | 23.5% | 24.9% | 18.3% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 33.1% | 24.2% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 25.5% | 25.3% | 10.7% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.