Race 1A

aggie-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Leo Marek 8.0% 6.3% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 13.5% 15.4% 11.5% 10.4% 4.5% 2.2% 0.0%
Hanna Progelhof 18.8% 19.3% 15.7% 13.8% 11.2% 9.0% 7.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Carew 20.8% 18.0% 15.5% 13.6% 13.2% 7.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ingram 11.1% 13.9% 13.3% 13.0% 14.7% 11.0% 9.4% 7.6% 3.3% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Jacob Granberry 9.3% 11.7% 11.0% 12.6% 12.2% 11.3% 11.6% 9.1% 7.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Zachary Aronson 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% 11.4% 10.6% 14.5% 11.6% 11.7% 8.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Taylor Snyder 15.4% 11.9% 15.1% 13.4% 11.8% 12.0% 8.2% 7.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Valor Adair 2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 3.8% 6.0% 6.5% 9.7% 13.8% 17.1% 16.2% 11.1% 4.9%
Neftali Guerrero 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 4.1% 6.5% 8.3% 13.3% 17.3% 19.4% 15.7% 5.6%
Katy Heaney 1.0% 1.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 7.8% 13.7% 18.8% 23.7% 19.4%
Beau Lauffer 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 3.1% 5.7% 8.6% 12.4% 20.0% 23.1% 18.2%
Kegan Reynolds 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 5.7% 10.1% 21.2% 51.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.