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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+7.89vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+4.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+4.28vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+3.77vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.89-0.20vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.17+1.78vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.34+0.09vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08+0.47vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University5.19-5.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.52vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.76-1.61vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.44-1.48vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.70-3.19vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.62-3.77vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.90-5.87vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.99-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.38Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.77Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.78University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
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10.47Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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12.52Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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11.81Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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11.13Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thompson | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Marks | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| William Haeger | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Robert Vann | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Peter Miller | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 18.1% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.