Race 2A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Ingram 11.7% 12.6% 12.0% 13.6% 13.0% 13.1% 10.5% 7.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Valor Adair 2.4% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 4.9% 6.8% 10.5% 13.2% 16.9% 16.5% 13.1% 4.4%
Nicholas Carew 20.5% 17.5% 16.4% 14.6% 13.7% 7.8% 5.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Aronson 7.6% 8.1% 12.6% 11.6% 10.9% 12.1% 12.6% 11.6% 8.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Jacob Granberry 9.3% 11.6% 11.8% 10.6% 11.6% 13.8% 10.9% 8.9% 7.2% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Hanna Progelhof 20.4% 18.3% 14.9% 15.2% 11.1% 8.6% 5.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Leo Marek 8.0% 8.2% 9.4% 10.2% 11.0% 11.5% 13.0% 11.4% 10.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.7%
Taylor Snyder 14.7% 14.4% 12.6% 12.3% 12.8% 11.8% 9.6% 6.7% 2.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Neftali Guerrero 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 2.4% 4.6% 6.5% 9.3% 14.3% 16.3% 19.0% 15.4% 5.6%
Beau Lauffer 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.7% 2.3% 6.0% 8.7% 13.6% 18.3% 23.4% 16.4%
Katy Heaney 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 4.0% 4.4% 7.5% 13.0% 19.0% 22.8% 22.0%
Kegan Reynolds 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 3.3% 5.3% 11.3% 21.1% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.