Race 3A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 18.5% 16.8% 16.6% 17.1% 10.1% 9.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Carew 20.4% 19.1% 18.0% 12.5% 11.5% 6.4% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Granberry 11.0% 9.1% 10.7% 12.0% 10.3% 15.3% 11.8% 10.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Leo Marek 6.5% 7.4% 10.3% 10.3% 12.1% 12.7% 12.9% 10.0% 11.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Taylor Snyder 12.3% 14.3% 13.7% 12.3% 14.2% 12.3% 8.8% 6.7% 2.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Aronson 8.7% 9.7% 9.6% 9.8% 12.5% 12.8% 12.8% 12.0% 7.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Valor Adair 2.9% 4.5% 3.5% 3.4% 6.3% 7.0% 9.0% 14.2% 16.2% 16.2% 11.7% 5.1%
Ryan Ingram 14.4% 13.1% 12.3% 13.3% 12.6% 11.7% 9.3% 7.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Katy Heaney 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 5.7% 8.4% 13.4% 20.6% 24.1% 17.5%
Beau Lauffer 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 3.3% 2.2% 3.6% 5.5% 8.6% 13.8% 18.5% 23.8% 15.8%
Neftali Guerrero 2.3% 2.1% 1.5% 3.3% 4.5% 4.9% 8.9% 11.3% 16.7% 19.6% 15.8% 9.1%
Kegan Reynolds 0.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 2.6% 4.4% 4.6% 10.9% 20.0% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.