Race 4A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 18.9% 18.5% 15.6% 14.6% 10.9% 10.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Leo Marek 6.7% 7.8% 9.7% 10.4% 11.6% 10.1% 15.2% 13.8% 7.4% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Valor Adair 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 4.9% 5.2% 7.2% 8.1% 13.6% 19.4% 15.8% 11.6% 4.3%
Nicholas Carew 18.6% 21.1% 16.1% 14.6% 10.8% 9.1% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Aronson 9.8% 8.2% 9.5% 9.9% 13.8% 12.1% 12.0% 11.8% 7.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.1%
Jacob Granberry 10.0% 10.1% 9.8% 11.4% 13.9% 12.2% 14.3% 9.0% 6.0% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Ingram 14.3% 11.9% 13.8% 13.5% 11.0% 12.0% 9.3% 6.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Neftali Guerrero 1.5% 2.8% 3.3% 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 7.7% 12.5% 17.2% 18.6% 13.8% 8.6%
Katy Heaney 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 2.5% 3.4% 6.1% 7.9% 12.0% 22.3% 24.6% 16.1%
Taylor Snyder 13.3% 13.3% 15.1% 12.2% 12.4% 11.2% 10.5% 7.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Beau Lauffer 2.0% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 4.8% 4.4% 7.9% 13.2% 17.8% 24.8% 18.2%
Kegan Reynolds 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 5.8% 10.2% 20.2% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.