Race 5A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 18.8% 17.9% 15.8% 16.1% 11.8% 8.6% 5.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Taylor Snyder 12.1% 14.7% 12.4% 13.0% 14.0% 12.4% 9.3% 6.7% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Jacob Granberry 10.3% 8.3% 12.6% 10.5% 13.0% 11.2% 13.4% 11.8% 6.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Zachary Aronson 6.9% 8.9% 11.8% 10.7% 11.5% 14.2% 11.0% 11.9% 7.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Leo Marek 7.4% 8.2% 8.0% 12.2% 10.0% 12.6% 13.5% 11.3% 9.6% 4.3% 2.4% 0.5%
Ryan Ingram 12.6% 12.1% 11.7% 12.5% 14.6% 11.1% 11.7% 7.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Katy Heaney 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 4.7% 6.7% 13.3% 20.3% 23.3% 18.1%
Beau Lauffer 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 5.9% 8.0% 11.4% 18.1% 25.7% 16.2%
Nicholas Carew 22.4% 19.9% 16.1% 11.6% 12.3% 8.8% 5.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Valor Adair 3.8% 3.0% 3.3% 4.3% 3.8% 7.6% 10.2% 13.5% 17.5% 17.0% 11.1% 4.9%
Kegan Reynolds 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 2.3% 4.0% 5.3% 11.5% 18.8% 52.9%
Neftali Guerrero 1.7% 3.4% 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 4.9% 7.6% 12.4% 18.3% 19.4% 16.1% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.