Race 6A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Granberry 9.6% 9.6% 9.5% 12.2% 13.9% 12.8% 13.3% 9.3% 5.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Leo Marek 6.4% 8.2% 9.6% 9.9% 10.8% 12.2% 13.1% 14.7% 8.5% 4.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Hanna Progelhof 20.8% 15.1% 16.5% 16.1% 12.0% 8.3% 6.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ingram 11.9% 12.1% 15.1% 13.7% 12.3% 11.2% 9.3% 7.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Taylor Snyder 12.5% 15.2% 13.5% 12.9% 13.0% 11.1% 9.3% 5.0% 4.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Carew 20.7% 19.2% 16.1% 12.9% 11.0% 9.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Katy Heaney 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 5.7% 7.5% 12.5% 18.3% 24.2% 18.3%
Zachary Aronson 10.0% 10.6% 8.8% 10.6% 11.3% 12.1% 12.4% 11.3% 7.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Neftali Guerrero 1.9% 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 3.5% 8.1% 7.3% 14.2% 17.3% 18.2% 15.5% 6.4%
Valor Adair 2.6% 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 11.2% 12.7% 17.6% 16.6% 11.4% 4.6%
Beau Lauffer 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 3.8% 4.4% 8.5% 12.8% 20.1% 22.6% 18.8%
Kegan Reynolds 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 4.7% 10.7% 21.3% 51.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.