Race 7A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Carew 18.6% 18.4% 16.2% 15.4% 11.6% 8.8% 5.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Hanna Progelhof 20.5% 18.1% 15.3% 15.0% 9.4% 10.8% 5.1% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Neftali Guerrero 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 11.0% 18.5% 18.5% 15.7% 7.9%
Taylor Snyder 12.0% 14.5% 14.1% 12.0% 14.3% 10.4% 10.8% 6.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Ingram 12.2% 13.6% 12.7% 12.4% 14.1% 11.1% 10.1% 6.8% 3.7% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Jacob Granberry 9.5% 11.1% 9.9% 11.7% 12.2% 13.1% 11.8% 11.1% 6.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Zachary Aronson 10.1% 8.3% 10.2% 11.2% 11.1% 12.1% 13.9% 10.7% 6.5% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Leo Marek 9.4% 7.3% 9.8% 9.7% 10.6% 11.5% 12.9% 13.4% 8.8% 3.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Valor Adair 2.1% 2.7% 4.1% 3.2% 6.6% 7.7% 11.2% 13.1% 18.5% 17.3% 10.2% 3.3%
Beau Lauffer 1.2% 1.2% 2.6% 3.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.5% 8.7% 13.9% 18.8% 23.6% 16.0%
Katy Heaney 1.6% 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 1.7% 2.9% 5.3% 7.6% 12.4% 17.7% 25.1% 21.1%
Kegan Reynolds 0.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.9% 5.6% 11.2% 20.5% 50.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.