Race 8A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 17.7% 17.3% 16.8% 15.7% 11.4% 9.3% 5.9% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Carew 20.4% 19.0% 17.1% 13.3% 9.9% 8.7% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Taylor Snyder 14.3% 11.7% 15.5% 11.5% 12.3% 13.5% 10.4% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Leo Marek 6.3% 8.2% 8.8% 11.0% 12.2% 11.1% 14.8% 11.4% 7.9% 6.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Jacob Granberry 9.8% 11.0% 10.1% 12.4% 12.7% 11.9% 11.9% 10.1% 5.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Neftali Guerrero 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 7.0% 11.6% 16.9% 20.7% 14.9% 7.7%
Zachary Aronson 9.6% 10.5% 8.9% 10.8% 12.0% 13.4% 11.8% 11.5% 6.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Ryan Ingram 14.0% 14.1% 12.6% 12.5% 12.3% 11.1% 10.7% 6.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Katy Heaney 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 3.4% 5.1% 8.1% 14.6% 19.4% 24.3% 17.2%
Beau Lauffer 1.3% 1.2% 2.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.4% 5.7% 8.9% 14.1% 16.7% 24.1% 16.7%
Valor Adair 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 4.1% 5.8% 6.7% 8.3% 14.8% 17.8% 17.6% 11.5% 5.2%
Kegan Reynolds 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 4.2% 5.8% 9.8% 19.4% 52.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.