Race 3B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brett Pearson 40.5% 26.7% 16.7% 8.8% 3.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Krahulik 6.5% 10.0% 11.7% 11.8% 12.7% 12.7% 13.0% 9.5% 6.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Cole Broberg 16.5% 15.5% 15.6% 13.0% 16.2% 9.9% 7.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Arthur Unger 10.9% 14.5% 15.1% 16.8% 14.2% 10.1% 8.0% 6.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Timothy Verriere 3.6% 6.2% 6.3% 8.9% 9.7% 11.2% 11.6% 13.0% 12.6% 9.5% 5.9% 1.5%
Jack Meyer 6.4% 8.0% 9.1% 10.5% 10.9% 11.4% 13.5% 11.5% 9.0% 6.1% 3.3% 0.3%
Ian Casteel 1.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 5.3% 7.6% 9.6% 11.7% 17.0% 18.9% 14.9%
Robert Scheer 5.7% 5.7% 9.0% 8.8% 10.7% 11.8% 11.2% 12.5% 10.7% 9.3% 3.2% 1.4%
Joseph Dunning 4.0% 5.9% 6.4% 10.4% 9.4% 14.4% 11.6% 12.2% 12.5% 8.8% 3.3% 1.1%
Caidan Stecklein 1.5% 2.4% 3.4% 3.2% 4.5% 3.5% 6.2% 8.7% 13.6% 17.0% 20.6% 15.4%
Triston Haden 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.4% 6.3% 10.8% 17.3% 49.5%
Gretchen March 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 4.2% 5.9% 8.6% 12.9% 15.7% 25.2% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.