← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.78+6.43vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.62+10.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami3.99+7.87vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.01vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University5.19+0.70vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston4.34+3.11vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University4.52+1.32vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+0.59vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.76+2.54vs Predicted
-
10Brown University4.49-1.33vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University3.90+0.08vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University4.08-1.40vs Predicted
-
13Boston College4.89-6.28vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College3.44-1.49vs Predicted
-
15Yale University4.19-5.32vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida4.17-6.11vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy4.34-7.77vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College3.70-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.43Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
12.45University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
-
10.87University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
-
7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
5.7Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
-
9.11College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
-
8.32Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
11.54Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
-
8.67Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
11.08Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
-
10.6Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
-
6.72Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
12.51Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
-
9.68Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
-
9.89University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
-
9.23U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
11.61Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Carmody | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 16.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| David Thompson | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% |
| William Haeger | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 19.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Robert Vann | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.