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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joseph Dunning 4.0% 6.6% 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 13.3% 12.9% 12.8% 11.8% 8.9% 5.9% 1.3%
Brett Pearson 42.1% 23.7% 16.5% 9.7% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Verriere 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 8.1% 8.6% 10.3% 11.6% 13.2% 13.1% 10.9% 5.5% 1.5%
Sydney Krahulik 6.0% 9.4% 11.6% 13.4% 13.6% 11.2% 12.8% 7.8% 7.7% 5.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Arthur Unger 11.9% 15.4% 15.9% 14.1% 12.9% 10.8% 7.7% 5.7% 2.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Cole Broberg 14.6% 17.5% 15.8% 15.5% 13.5% 9.3% 7.2% 3.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Caidan Stecklein 1.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 6.6% 7.6% 8.1% 12.3% 16.9% 19.0% 15.7%
Jack Meyer 6.6% 8.5% 9.9% 11.2% 12.1% 12.2% 11.1% 11.9% 8.5% 4.6% 2.6% 0.8%
Robert Scheer 4.8% 5.8% 7.6% 10.9% 13.2% 11.3% 13.8% 12.5% 10.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Ian Casteel 1.4% 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 6.4% 11.3% 12.9% 15.0% 20.4% 14.4%
Gretchen March 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 9.4% 11.7% 17.0% 21.3% 20.1%
Triston Haden 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 6.5% 12.0% 20.9% 45.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.