Race 5B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eduardo Gomez 4.5% 4.5% 6.3% 6.1% 8.9% 8.9% 11.1% 13.9% 11.2% 11.6% 8.4% 4.6%
Ian Casteel 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 6.8% 7.6% 9.5% 12.0% 23.4% 22.6%
Brett Pearson 41.7% 24.6% 15.8% 10.3% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Verriere 4.0% 3.9% 7.2% 8.0% 9.4% 11.4% 9.4% 12.6% 12.1% 11.9% 6.6% 3.5%
Joseph Dunning 4.1% 5.3% 7.7% 8.9% 10.6% 9.4% 10.6% 11.9% 11.2% 10.3% 6.3% 3.7%
Robert Scheer 4.8% 6.7% 6.3% 9.1% 9.3% 11.8% 12.1% 11.3% 11.7% 7.8% 5.9% 3.2%
Cole Broberg 14.9% 19.2% 16.1% 13.8% 11.2% 10.4% 7.8% 2.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Jean-Luc Murray 4.2% 6.3% 5.6% 8.3% 9.7% 8.6% 11.3% 9.5% 11.9% 10.9% 9.3% 4.4%
Sydney Krahulik 6.7% 7.5% 13.3% 14.0% 12.1% 14.0% 9.6% 8.8% 7.0% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Caidan Stecklein 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 9.3% 14.0% 19.3% 26.2%
Arthur Unger 10.2% 15.7% 14.7% 12.6% 13.6% 10.8% 9.4% 5.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Gretchen March 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 5.0% 7.8% 9.6% 13.7% 17.9% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.