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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+8.45vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+4.64vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+4.15vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.28vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81+2.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.53+2.28vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69+0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-2.60vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.43-4.23vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.62-2.28vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.10-5.49vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.99-5.80vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.50-4.55vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.47-9.63vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.30-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.15Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.28Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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10.92Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.77Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.45Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Bridget Green | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.