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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+6.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+5.07vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+7.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.62+6.70vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+2.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.30+5.16vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.93+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-0.81vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81+0.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.37vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.22-4.96vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-7.07vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.99-5.80vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.69-5.46vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.50-5.50vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.53-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.36Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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12.16Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.41College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.54Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.5Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.1% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Bridget Green | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.