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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+8.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+6.24vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+7.21vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51+7.31vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+3.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+3.23vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.99vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10+2.18vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.30-6.05vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.55-4.63vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-4.00vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-3.54vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.38-6.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-2.33vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.60-5.49vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-3.68vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.66-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Brown University1.994.2%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.095.9%1st Place
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10.21College of Charleston1.814.1%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College1.512.0%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.026.2%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
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8.43University of Pennsylvania1.776.4%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.8%1st Place
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11.18Harvard University2.102.7%1st Place
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3.95Stanford University3.3020.4%1st Place
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6.37Yale University2.5510.2%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University2.206.9%1st Place
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9.46Dartmouth College1.715.0%1st Place
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7.82Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University1.222.6%1st Place
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10.51University of South Florida1.603.7%1st Place
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13.32George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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13.7Tufts University0.661.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.4% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 17.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 21.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.