Race 12A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Quentin Chafee 11.7% 13.9% 13.6% 13.3% 14.2% 14.3% 9.8% 5.9% 3.3%
Michael Reney 3.4% 3.6% 5.9% 8.8% 10.0% 12.8% 14.3% 18.2% 23.0%
Viktor Bolmgren 6.7% 6.7% 9.0% 11.2% 12.1% 12.0% 14.5% 16.8% 11.0%
Tommy Fink 38.3% 28.4% 16.8% 8.6% 4.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 9.1% 11.1% 10.6% 14.3% 11.6% 12.0% 10.9% 12.2% 8.2%
Dylan Griffin 2.9% 2.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 8.7% 12.7% 17.9% 38.1%
Michael Hession 9.7% 11.7% 14.2% 13.0% 17.1% 11.9% 11.5% 7.5% 3.4%
Eric Decesar 11.5% 12.4% 14.4% 14.9% 13.8% 12.3% 9.7% 7.5% 3.5%
William Cotta 6.7% 9.3% 10.4% 10.6% 10.7% 13.7% 15.4% 13.7% 9.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.