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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+6.11vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+6.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.24vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University5.19+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+5.50vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.17+3.81vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.78+0.26vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+0.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.49-0.58vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.76+1.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.62+0.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.44-0.29vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.70-2.50vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.19-5.27vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.34-6.87vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.90-5.85vs Predicted
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18Tufts University4.08-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University4.520.0%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.81University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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12.47University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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12.71Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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9.73Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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11.15Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alan Palmer | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Zachary Marks | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| David Thompson | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
| Robert Vann | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Carmody | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 17.6% |
| Peter Miller | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 18.9% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| William Haeger | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.