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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+6.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+5.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+5.73vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+3.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.56vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30+4.07vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-0.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-2.31vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-0.80vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-1.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.53-1.93vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.54-7.28vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.93-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.23-7.71vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.83-6.90vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.50-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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12.07Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.93Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.45College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.19Tulane University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 16.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Bridget Green | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.