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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+10.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.89vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.93+6.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+4.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+2.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+4.87vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.92vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30+4.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-2.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-3.50vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-2.44vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-3.09vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.45-2.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.54-8.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.99-6.64vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.69-6.34vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.23-9.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.38Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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10.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.74College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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8.15Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.56Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.24Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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10.66Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 17.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Bridget Green | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.